Monday, October 25, 2004

Latest Polls: Trending Bush

The latest polls show some interesting movement. See this graphic below:



The blue squares indicate a state trending toward Kerry, the red toward Bush. What does all this mean? (all numbers taken from RCP)

So, the wisdom was that Bush needed to win 2 of the big three (PA, OH, and FL). But if things continue on this trend then there could be an interesting finish. See below:



Bush could (theoretically) lose Florida and PA and still come out on top. The magic pair still holds though. If Bush does get 2 of the three this game is over.