Yikes!Kristol,Barnes,Labash,Continetti,Matus,Last & the rest give their midterm election predictionsKristol, Barnes, Labash, Continetti, Matus, Last, and the rest give their midterm election predictions.
William Kristol
Senate: 48 (R), 52 (D)
House: 192 (R), 243 (D)
Dark Horse: Anti-immigration stance backfires with Republican meltdown in Arizona and Colorado.
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Fred Barnes
Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)
House: 210 (R), 225 (D)
Dark Horse: Conrad Burns holds on in Montana.
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Terry Eastland
Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)
House: 203 (R), 232 (D)
Dark Horse: The Man of Steele helps keep the GOP on top in the Senate while the House does an about-face.
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Matthew Continetti
Senate: 49 (R), 51 (D)
House: 212 (R), 223 (D)
Dark
Horse: Steele wins Maryland, Webb wins Virginia, and when Lieberman
replaces Rumsfeld, popular GOP CT Gov. Jodi Rell appoints a Republican
to the seat, leading to an evenly divided Senate.
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Richard Starr
Senate: 48 (R), 52 (D)
House: 195 (R), 240 (D)
Dark Horse: Arizona wipeout. Kyl loses. Hayworth loses.
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David Tell
Senate: 49 (R), 51 (D)
House: 205 (R), 230 (D)
Dark Horse: Dina Titus (D) beats Jim Gibbons (R) in the Nevada gubernatorial race.
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Duncan Currie
Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)
House: 206 (R), 229 (D)
Dark
Horse: Thanks in part to voter-instruction signs explaining that a vote
for "Mark Foley" is a vote for Joe Negron, the Republicans will hold
Foley's House district in Florida. And despite trailing in public polls
all year, Bob Ehrlich will win reelection as governor of Maryland.
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Andrew Ferguson
Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)
House: 218 (R), 217 (D)
Dark Horse: Don Sherwood pulls it off in PA-10.
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Victorino Matus
Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)
House: 210 (R), 225 (D)
Dark
Horse: Don't be surprised if Republican discontent also impacts the
District of Columbia. After careful consideration and analysis of
previous election cycles, I believe Democrat Adrian Fenty has a
reasonable chance of becoming the city's next mayor. Don't get me
wrong--the District's Republicans will put up a fierce fight. But when
the dust settles, Fenty will squeak by (with roughly 92 percent of the
vote).
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David Skinner
Senate: 52 (R), 48 (D)
House: 212 (R), 223 (D)
Dark Horse: Michael Steele wins, Michael J. Fox loses. No, I mean Ben Cardin loses.
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Matt Labash
Senate: 49 (R), 51 (D)
House: 205 (R), 230 (D)
Dark
Horse: Joseph "Joe" Gochinski will demolish both Isaac Mass and H.
Peter Wood in the white-hot register of deeds race in Franklin County,
Massachusetts. You heard it here first.
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Michael Goldfarb
Senate: 53 (R), 47 (D)
House: 216 (R), 219 (D)
Dark
Horse: In Maryland, look for Michael Steele to eke out a narrow victory
in his senate race against Benjamin Cardin, while Republicans
outperform expectations across the board.
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Dan McKivergan
Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)
House: 207 (R), 228 (D)
Dark
Horse: Steele pulls it out; Democratic enthusiasm for Ben Cardin
further erodes and he falls short in areas where he should have run up
the vote against his Republican opponent. Chafee almost crawls over the
victory line, but Rhode Island becomes an all Democratic congressional
state.
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Sonny Bunch
Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)
House: 214 (R), 221 (D)
Dark
Horse: Keep an eye on Kentucky as the night goes along. Three seats are
in play (the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th), and two of them are solid Bush
districts. While it's unlikely there will be a sweep (the only poll
showing the GOP candidate losing in the 2nd district is one
commissioned by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee),
should the GOP lose 2 (or, more unlikely, all 3), Republicans will be
in for a long (25-to-30-seat-loss long) night.
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Jonathan V. Last
Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)
House: 216 (R), 219 (D)
Dark
Horse: The biggest loss for Republicans isn't the House--which will go
to post-election re-counts and litigation, but Michael Steele, who
should win by every objective measure of character and
intelligence--but probably won't. If Steele does pull out a miracle
win, look for two Marylanders--Steele and Martin O'Malley--on
presidential ballots within the next eight years.
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Whitney Blake
Senate: 52 (R), 48 (D)
House: 212 (R), 223 (D)
Dark Horse: TX-22 and FL-16 will go Republican while the Missouri Senate race ends with a recount.
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Joseph Lindsley
Senate: 52 (R), 48 (D)
House: 214 (R), 221 (D)
Dark
Horse: The GOP Steeles the election in Maryland--unfortunately,
Democrats are not able to claim that African-American voters have been
disfranchised.
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